On Tuesday night, while the G.O.P. Congressional candidate was losing in a Mississippi district George Bush carried in 2004 by 25 points, Barack Obama was being trounced in the West Virginia Democratic primary — by 41 points. I can’t find a single recent instance of a candidate who ultimately became his party’s nominee losing a primary by this kind of margin. The crucial swing states of Ohio and Pennsylvania (whose primaries Obama also lost to Hillary Clinton) have a fair number of West Virginia-type working-class, culturally conservative voters. The Obama campaign can’t be confident about his prospects there in the fall.
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Monday, August 25, 2008
Saturday, August 23, 2008
Nothing Sure for McCain
According to the latest poll by the NY Time, McCain is leading in WV in hopes of it 5 electoral votes, but considering WV's history and current governmental composition there's nothing to celebrate quite yet. 2000 was the first time the state went red in a presidential election for decades, and the majority of the state reps, senators, U.S. reps, both U.S. senators and the governor are democrats.
The Biden advancement for the Obama campaign will shake out interestingly for this state considering Biden's own southern sympathies, and while this state is "strongly McCain" for now, some fluctuation might not be out of the picture.
READ STATS
The Biden advancement for the Obama campaign will shake out interestingly for this state considering Biden's own southern sympathies, and while this state is "strongly McCain" for now, some fluctuation might not be out of the picture.
READ STATS
Wednesday, August 20, 2008
CQ Election Forcast: Southern Conservatives Break Dem. Hold
Election Forecast 2008: West Virginia’s Split Ticket
By Greg Giroux, CQ Staff
CQ Politics Presidential Race Rating: Republican Favored
Electoral Votes: 5
It wasn’t long ago that West Virginia was among the most reliably Democratic states in presidential elections. But its voters generally are socially conservative — why most political scientists make the state part of the South — and are protective of the coal industry’s important role in the state’s economy. The real or perceived liberalism of recent Democratic nominees turned West Virginia Republican in the two George W. Bush elections, and it’s probably headed to John McCain this time.
Just throwing it out there...?
WV GOVERNOR PREDICTS KAINE AS VP
Posted: Wednesday, August 20, 2008 6:08 PM by Domenico Montanaro
From NBC's Alex Wall
Posted: Wednesday, August 20, 2008 6:08 PM by Domenico Montanaro
From NBC's Alex Wall
Despite all the talk of Biden for VP, West Virginia Gov. Joe Manchin (D) said he predicts that Gov. Tim Kaine (D-VA) will be Obama's No. 2.
Speaking to a reporter from WSAZ in Charleston, W.V., Manchin made the case for his "dear friend."
"I am predicting that Tim Kaine will be the VP pick, and I think that this country will be blessed if that happens, and I know Barack will have a strong, strong ticket," he said. "Tim speaks very eloquently about the balance that's needed for energy and the compassion for people and the things that we believe in. It just resonates."
Manchin said he had just spoken to Kaine on the phone and that the Virginia governor still didn't know who the VP will be.
"Fingers are crossed," Manchin said. "He don't know. We just talked, he says, 'To be honest with you, Joe, I don't know.'"
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